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Average rating: 4/5

Based on 32 ratings

Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

by Dan Ariely

HARPERCOLLINS PUBLISHERS | February 7, 2008 | Hardcover

  • Why do our headaches persist after taking a one-cent aspirin but disappear when we take a 50-cent aspirin?
  • Why does recalling the Ten Commandments reduce our tendency to lie, even when we couldn't possibly be caught?
  • Why do we splurge on a lavish meal but cut coupons to save twenty-five cents on a can of soup?
  • Why do we go back for second helpings at the unlimited buffet, even when our stomachs are already full?
  • And how did we ever start spending $4.15 on a cup of coffee when, just a few years ago, we used to pay less than a dollar?


When it comes to making decisions in our lives, we think we're in control. We think we're making smart, rational choices. But are we?

In a series of illuminating, often surprising experiments, MIT behavioral economist Dan Ariely refutes the common assumption that we behave in fundamentally rational ways. Blending everyday experience with groundbreaking research, Ariely explains how expectations, emotions, social norms, and other invisible, seemingly illogical forces skew our reasoning abilities.

Not only do we make astonishingly simple mistakes every day, but we make the same types of mistakes, Ariely discovers. We consistently overpay, underestimate, and procrastinate. We fail to understand the profound effects of our emotions on what we want, and we overvalue what we already own. Yet these misguided behaviors are neither random nor senseless. They're systematic and predictable—making us predictably irrational.

From drinking coffee to losing weight, from buying a car to choosing a romantic partner, Ariely explains how to break through these systematic patterns of thought to make better decisions. Predictably Irrational will change the way we interact with the world—one small decision at a time.

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Rating: 4/5

Why things don't make sense

Randall Willis

15 months ago

Logic and analysis is how we rationalize our irrational choices in life. Success, I believe, comes from providing that rationale while feeding the irrational.

If you work in any industry that requires reaching out to other people and convincing them to do something they wouldn't otherwise do (and who on LinkedIn doesn't), I think this book is a must-read. In a series of chapters that can quite comfortably be read independently, Ariely lays bear some of the myths of the rational, thinking consumer...the consumer to whom we lay out all of our wonderful arguments and then struggle to understand why they don't see the world the way we do.

At the moment, my main occupation is medical advertising, with a focus on healthcare specialists (less on patients and consumers). These are highly trained medical practitioners who have spent their lives understanding the intricacies of the biological condition. And yet, the amazing thing I've seen is that no matter how many rational arguments I (or my clients) make for the use of a drug, if our promotional efforts fail to touch these specialists at an emotional level, the effort fails.

How could people so highly trained behave so irrationally?

In our case, I believe the chapter in Ariely's book on the fear of making a bad decision...of limiting options...addresses much of what we face in my industry.

For others, it may be the inherent power of "Free" or the little devil that sits on our shoulder telling us that our dishonesty hurts no one.

Gladwell has covered similar topics in his many books, but where Gladwell recounts experiments done by other people, Ariely discusses experiments he himself conducted with colleagues. This adds a layer of conviction to the arguments and a bit of insight that Gladwell can't provide. In that sense, I believe the authors complement each other.

An easy read. An invaluable read."

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