Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter L. Bernstein

Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk

byPeter L. Bernstein

Paperback | October 1, 1998

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A Business Week, New York Times Business, and USA Today Bestseller

"Ambitious and readable . . . an engaging introduction to the oddsmakers, whom Bernstein regards as true humanists helping to release mankind from the choke holds of superstition and fatalism." -The New York Times

"An extraordinarily entertaining and informative book." -The Wall Street Journal

"A lively panoramic book . . . Against the Gods sets up an ambitious premise and then delivers on it." -Business Week

"Deserves to be, and surely will be, widely read." -The Economist

"[A] challenging book, one that may change forever the way people think about the world." -Worth

"No one else could have written a book of such central importance with so much charm and excitement." -Robert Heilbroner author, The Worldly Philosophers

"With his wonderful knowledge of the history and current manifestations of risk, Peter Bernstein brings us Against the Gods. Nothing like it will come out of the financial world this year or ever. I speak carefully: no one should miss it." -John Kenneth Galbraith Professor of Economics Emeritus, Harvard University

In this unique exploration of the role of risk in our society, Peter Bernstein argues that the notion of bringing risk under control is one of the central ideas that distinguishes modern times from the distant past. Against the Gods chronicles the remarkable intellectual adventure that liberated humanity from oracles and soothsayers by means of the powerful tools of risk management that are available to us today.

"An extremely readable history of risk." -Barron's

"Fascinating . . . this challenging volume will help you understand the uncertainties that every investor must face." -Money

"A singular achievement." -Times Literary Supplement

"There's a growing market for savants who can render the recondite intelligibly-witness Stephen Jay Gould (natural history), Oliver Sacks (disease), Richard Dawkins (heredity), James Gleick (physics), Paul Krugman (economics)-and Bernstein would mingle well in their company." -The Australian

About The Author

PETER L. BERNSTEIN is President of Peter L. Bernstein, Inc., economic consultants to institutional advisors and corporations. His semimonthly analysis of the capital markets and the real economy, Economics and Portfolio Strategy, is read by managers and owners of investments totaling over one trillion dollars. Mr. Bernstein is the auth...
Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk

by Peter L. Bernstein

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Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street
Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street

by Peter L. Bernstein

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Details & Specs

Title:Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of RiskFormat:PaperbackDimensions:400 pages, 8.9 × 5.9 × 1.2 inPublished:October 1, 1998Publisher:WileyLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0471295639

ISBN - 13:9780471295631

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgments ix

Introduction 1

TO 1200: BEGINNINGS

1. The Winds of the Greeks and the Role
of the Dice 11

2. As Easy as I, II, III 23

1200–1700: A THOUSAND OUTSTANDING FACTS

3. The Renaissance Gambler 39

4. The French Connection 57

5. The Remarkable Notions of the Remarkable Notions Man 73

1700–1900: MEASUREMENT UNLIMITED

6. Considering the Nature of Man 99

7. The Search for Moral Certainty 116

8. The Supreme Law of Unreason 135

9. The Man with the Sprained Brain 152

10. Peapods and Perils 172

11. The Fabric of Felicity 187

1900–1960: CLOUDS OF VAGUENESS AND THE DEMAND FOR PRECISION

12. The Measure of Our Ignorance 197

13. The Radically Distinct Notion 215

14. The Man Who Counted Everything Except Calories 231

15. The Strange Case of the Anonymous Stockbroker 247

DEGREES OF BELIEF:EXPLORING UNCERTAINTY

16. The Failure of Invariance 269

17. The Theory Police 284

18. The Fantastic System of Side Bets 304

19. Awaiting the Wildness 329

Notes 339

Bibliography 353

Name Index 365

Subject Index 369

From Our Editors

Is our age more conservative than those preceding it? Are we trying to control risk even as we hurtle forward at ever-increasing rates of progress? Peter Bernstein believes we are. In fact, he argues that it's one of the central traits distinguishing our era from the distant past. A chronicle of humanity's centuries-long intellectual adventure as seen through the filter of powerful modern risk-management tools, Against the Gods helps us understand where we've been and where we're going.

Editorial Reviews

“ … an excellent book on what can be a dry subject… ” ("Financial World," 1st December 2005) "A comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability, from ancient gamblers in Greece to modern chaos theory." ("The Washington Post Book World," September 20, 1998) "I must say that I enjoyed the book, it was written in a light-hearted manner."("Money Matters," April 2001) No. 7 bestseller in 'Risk' ("erivativesreview.com," December 2001)