An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling

Paperback | June 13, 2010

byEmilia Vynnycky, Richard White

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Mathematical modelling is increasingly being applied to interpret and predict the dynamics and control of infectious diseases. Applications include predicting the impact of vaccination strategies against common infections and determining optimal control strategies against HIV and malaria.Though many public health and infectious disease researchers are aware that mathematical modelling would be of use to them, few have had any formal training in this area. As a result, they are ill-equipped either to use models or to even critically evaluate the modelling work of other researchers.Though several texts on the mathematical modelling of infectious disease transmission have been published to date, they have either been targeted at modellers, or they have illustrated how mathematical equations have informed the dynamics and control of infectious diseases without explaining howthese equations might be set up and solved. This book is designed to fill this gap. By reading the book and completing the accompanying exercises, readers will understand the basic methods for setting up mathematical models and how and where models can be applied. They will also gain an improved understanding of the factors which influencethe patterns and trends in infectious diseases. This book will be of interest to epidemiologists, public health researchers, policy makers, veterinary scientists, medical statisticians and infectious disease researchers.

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Mathematical modelling is increasingly being applied to interpret and predict the dynamics and control of infectious diseases. Applications include predicting the impact of vaccination strategies against common infections and determining optimal control strategies against HIV and malaria.Though many public health and infectious diseas...

Emilia Vynnycky obtained a BA in Mathematics from Oxford University, followed by an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University and a PhD in Infectious Disease Modelling at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), where she subsequently worked as a Lecturer until 2003. She is now senior scientist in the ...
Format:PaperbackDimensions:368 pages, 9.21 × 6.14 × 0.01 inPublished:June 13, 2010Publisher:Oxford University PressLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0198565763

ISBN - 13:9780198565765

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Table of Contents

Preface1. Paul E. M. Fine: Introduction: the basics - infections, transmission and models2. How are models set up? I. An introduction to difference equations3. How are models set up? II. An introduction to differential equations4. What do models tell us about the dynamics of infections?5. Age patterns6. An introduction to stochastic modelling7. How do models deal with contact patterns?8. Sexually transmitted infections9. Special topics in infectious disease modellingAppendixBasic mathsFurther readingAbbreviations and glossaryCommonly used symbolsUseful equations