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Superforecasting: The Art And Science Of Prediction
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From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists comes a seminal book on forecasting that shows, for the first time, how we can all get better at making predictions. In Superforecasting , Tetlock and co-author Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on…
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
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Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the…
Comment être visionnaire : la science de la prévision à la portée de tous
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Summary of Superforecasting: by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner  Includes Analysis
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Summary of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner - Includes Analysis Preview: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of…
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological…
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Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying…
Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume I
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All people wish to avoid nuclear war, but this fact provides little guidance for policy. One reason is a lack of understanding of how a nuclear war might come about or how one could be prevented; much of what is offered as expert knowledge cannot be defended as…
Psychology And Social Policy

Psychology And Social Policy

by Peter Suedfeld

Paperback

|January 17, 2019

$59.95

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First published in 1992. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II
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In the last year the world has witnessed changes in East-West relations that would have been unthinkable only a short time ago. The Berlin Wall has crumbled, Eastern Europe has thrown out its authoritarian leaders, and the Soviet Union itself has undergone…
Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose
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Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine Anleitung für treffsichere Prognosen in einer unsicheren Zeit."Superforecaster"…
Summary of Superforecasting: by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Includes Analysis
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Summary of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Includes Analysis Preview: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of…
Summary of Superforecasting: by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Includes Analysis

Summary of Superforecasting: by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Includes Analysis

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|May 19, 2016

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$5.99list price

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Guide to Philip E. Tetlock's & et al Superforecasting by Instaread
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PLEASE NOTE: This is a companion to Philip E. Tetlock's & et al Superforecasting and NOT the original book. Preview: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip…