From Malthus' Stagnation to Sustained Growth: Social, Demographic and Economic Factors

Hardcover | December 7, 2012

EditorGustavo Piga, Bruno Chiarini, Paolo Malanima

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In recent years it has become apparent that the pattern of population growth is consistent with the predictions of the Malthusian model. Studies on the pre-industrial epoch in a wide range of countries show positive income elasticities of mortality and a strong positive correlation between real wages and marriage rates. Negative shocks to population, such as the Black Death, were reflected in higher real wages and faster population growth. Moreover, the prediction of the Malthusian model that differences in technology should be reflected in population density, but not in standards of living, is also borne out. However, the empirical implications of the Malthusian model are more complex than simply a tendency of real wage to revert to its long-run equilibrium level together with slow population growth. Many factors have impinged on the fertility and mortality rates. A most striking feature of the preindustrial epoch is the simultaneous effect of contradictory forces. This volume studies these forces pushing towards both growth and poverty, and evaluates the utility of the Malthusian model as a tool for understanding demographic dynamics today.

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In recent years it has become apparent that the pattern of population growth is consistent with the predictions of the Malthusian model. Studies on the pre-industrial epoch in a wide range of countries show positive income elasticities of mortality and a strong positive correlation between real wages and marriage rates. Negative shocks...

BRUNO CHIARINI holds a PhD from the University of Southampton, UK,and is Full Professor at the University of Naples Parthenope, Italy. He has published numerous articles in international journals and his research interests include econometric modelling, fiscal policy and strategic analysis.PAOLO MALANIMA holds a PhD from the Scuola No...

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Format:HardcoverDimensions:192 pages, 10.81 × 6.29 × 0.71 inPublished:December 7, 2012Publisher:Palgrave MacmillanLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0230392482

ISBN - 13:9780230392489

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Table of Contents

Demographic Dynamics and Economic Changes in Europe before the 19th Century; B.Chiarini & P.Malanima
Unified Growth Theory and Comparative Development; O.Galor
Population Dynamics, Malthusian Crises and Boserupian Innovation in Pre-Industrial Societies; G.Alfani
Energy and Economic Growth in Europe; S.Bartoletto
The Path Towards the Modern Economy; P.Malanima
Accounting for Child Mortality in the Pre-Industrial European Economy; B.Chiarini & M.Giannini
A Basic Model of Take-Off and Fertility Choices in the Economic Development Process; E.Bucciarelli & G.Giulioni
Population, Earth Carrying Capacity and Economic Growth; G.Scarano
The Post-Malthusian Moment: Some Responses to Population Explosion in Britain c.1840; P.Bouche