Future Climate Change by Mark MaslinFuture Climate Change by Mark Maslin

Future Climate Change

byMark MaslinEditorSamuel Randalls

Hardcover | December 20, 2011

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In recent years, future climate change has increasingly been recognized as one of the most important issues of the twenty-first century, challenging the very structure of our global society. No longer just an abstruse scientific concern, it prompts difficult choices for both individuals and governments. Moreover, it is of the first importance to those working in disciplines such as climatology, engineering, economics, sociology, geopolitics, local politics, law, and global health.

Emanating from across the social and natural sciences, as well as in the humanities, serious scholarship on future climate change flourishes now as it has never done before, and this new title in the Routledge series,Critical Concepts in the Environment, meets the need for an authoritative reference work to make sense of a vast literature - and the continuing explosion in research output. Edited by leading scholars in the field, this new Routledge Major Work is a four-volume collection of foundational and cutting-edge contributions.

The first volume (Science) in the collection deals with the development of the science of global warming and climate change, starting with Tyndall (1861), through to the IPCC synthesis (2007), and ending with the very latest research. Volume two (Impact Assessments), meanwhile, assembles the best thinking on how the potential physical, biological, social-political, and economic impacts of climate change are assessed. This volume also includes material on potential surprises that science is starting to investigate, such as the rapid melting of the Greenland and Western Antarctic ice sheets, die back of the Amazon rainforest, release of gas hydrates, and other tipping points. The third volume (Politics and Solutions) gathers the most influential research on climate-change solutions; it encompasses global and local politics, engineering, renewable energy, and geoengineering. The final volume in the collection (Framing the Debate) brings together key scholarship to question and explore how the climate-change debate has been framed and reframed as a scientific, economic, security, health, development, geopolitical, ethical, and cultural issue.

With comprehensive introductions to each volume, newly written by the editors, which place the collected material in its historical and intellectual context,Future Climate Changeis an essential collection destined to be welcomed as a vital research resource by all scholars and students of the subject.

Title:Future Climate ChangeFormat:HardcoverDimensions:2064 pages, 9.21 × 6.14 × 0.98 inPublished:December 20, 2011Publisher:RoutledgeLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0415569818

ISBN - 13:9780415569811


Table of Contents

Volume I: Science


1. John Tyndall, âOn the Absorption and Radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connection of Radiation, Absorption, and Conductionâ,Philosophical Magazine, 1861, 4, 22, 169â94, 273â85.

2. Svante Arrhenius, âOn the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air upon the Temperature of the Groundâ,Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 1896, 5, 41, 237â76.

3. J. R. Fleming, âJohn Tyndall, Svante Arrhenius, and Early Research on Carbon Dioxide and Climateâ,Historical Perspectives on Climate Change(Oxford University Press, 1998), pp. 65â82.

4. G. S. Callendar, âCan Carbon Dioxide Influence Climate?â,Weather, 1949, 4, 310â14.

5. J. R. Fleming, âGlobal Warming and Anthropogenic CO2â,The Callendar Effect: The Life and Work of Guy Stewart Callendar (1898â1964)(American Meteorological Society, 2007), pp. 65â87.

6. G. N. Plass, âThe Carbon Dioxide Theory of Climate Changeâ,Tellus, 1956, 8, 2, 140â54.

7. C. Keeling, âThe Concentration and Isotopic Abundances of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphereâ,Tellus, 1960, 12, 200â3.

8. R. Revelle and H. E. Suess, âCarbon Dioxide Exchange Between the Atmosphere and Ocean and the Question of an Increase of Atmospheric CO2 During the Past Decadesâ,Tellus, 1957, 12, 18â27.

9. Bert Bolin and Erik Eriksson, âChanges in the Carbon Dioxide Content of the Atmosphere and Sea due to Fossil Fuel Combustionâ, in Bert Bolin (ed.),The Atmosphere and the Sea in Motion: Scientific Contributions to the Rossby Memorial Volume(Rockefeller Institute Press, 1958), pp. 130â42.

10. Syukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald, âThermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative Humidityâ,Journal of Atmospheric Science, 1967, 24, 241â59.

11. Charles D. Keeling, âIs Carbon Dioxide from Fossil Fuel Changing Man's Environment?â,Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society, 1970, 114, 1, 10â17.

12. W. S. Broecker, âClimatic Change: Are We on the Brink of a Pronounced Climatic Warmingâ,Science, 1975, 189, 460â4

13. W. S. Broecker, âUnpleasant Surprises in the Greenhouse?â,Nature, 1987, 328, 123â6.

14. P. D. Jones, T. M. L. Wigley, and P. B. Wright, âGlobal Temperature Variations Between 1861 and 1984â,Nature, 1986, 322, 6078, 430â4.

15. M. Mann, R. Bradley, and M. Hughes, âGlobal-Scale Temperature Patterns and Climate Forcing Over the Past Six Centuriesâ,Nature, 1998, 392, 779â87.

Climate Science

16. Michael E. Mann et al., âProxy-Based Reconstructions of Hemispheric and Global Surface Temperature Variations Over the Past Two Millenniaâ,PNAS, 2008, 105, 36, 13252â7.

17. R. A. Betts, P. M. Cox, and F. I. Woodward, âSimulated Responses of Potential Vegetation to Doubled-CO2 Climate Change and Feedbacks on Near-Surface Temperatureâ,Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2000, 9, 171â80.

18. J. Oerlemanns, âExtracting a Climate Signal from 169 Glacier Recordsâ,Science, 2005, 308, 675â7.

19. Mark Maslin, âBrief Historyâ,Global Warming: A Very Short Introduction, 2nd edn. (Oxford University Press, 2008), pp. 41â59.

20. D. A. Rothrock, Y. Yu, and G. A. Maykut, âThinning of the Arctic Sea-Ice Coverâ,Geophysical Research Letters, 1999, 26, 23, 3469â72.

21. IPCC, âSummary for Policy Makersâ,Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed. Solomon et al. (Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 1â18.

22. J. Hansen et al., âClimate Change and Trace Gasesâ,Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2007, 365, 1925â54.

23. D. G. Vaughan, âWest Antarctic Ice Sheet Collapse: The Fall and Rise of a Paradigmâ,Climatic Change, 2008, 91, 1â2, 65â79.

24. M. R. Allen et al., âWarming Caused by Cumulative Carbon Emissions Towards the Trillionth Tonneâ,Nature, 2009, 458, 1163â66.

25. S. Schneider, âThe Worst Case Scenarioâ,Nature, 2009, 458, 1104â5.

26. R. Hillerbrand and M. Ghil, âAnthropogenic Climate Change: Scientific Uncertainties and Moral Dilemmasâ,Physica D, 2008, 237, 2132â8.

27. R. Hamblyn and M. J. Callanan, âOf Exactitude in Scienceâ,Data Soliloquies(Slade Press, 2009), pp. 23â43.

Volume II: Impact Assessments

28. IPCC, âSummary for Policymakersâ,Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. M. L. Parry et al. (Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 7â22.

29. N. Stern,The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review(Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 104â37, 161â90.

30. R. Pielke Jr., T. Wigley, and C. Green, âDangerous Assumptionsâ,Nature, 2008, 452, 531â2.

31. M. Parry et al., âSquaring Up to Realityâ,Nature Reports Climate Change, 2008, 2, 3.

Regional Specific Impacts

32. B. McGuire, âPotential for a Hazardous Geospheric Response to Projected Future Climate Changesâ,Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2010, 368, 2317â45.

33. S. H. Schneider et al., âAssessing Key Vulnerabilities and the Risk from Climate Changeâ,Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. M. L. Parry et al. (Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 779â810.

34. P. M. Cox, R. A. Betts, and C. D. Jones, âAcceleration of Global Warming Due to Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks in a Coupled Climate Modelâ,Nature, 2000, 408, 184â7.

35. D. J. Wingham et al., âMass Balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheetâ,Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2006, 364, 1627â35.

36. K. Emanuel, R. Sundararajan, and J. Williams, âHurricanes and Global Warming: Results from Downscaling IPCC AR4 Simulationsâ,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2008, 89, 347â67.

37. R. Wood et al., âTowards a Risk Assessment for Shutdown of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulationâ, in H. J. Schellnhuber (ed.),Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change(Cambridge University Press, 2006), pp. 49â54.

38. M. Wang and J. E. Overland, âA Sea Ice Free Summer Arctic Within 30 years?â,Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36, L07502.


39. C. D. Thomas et al., âExtinction Risk from Climate Changeâ,Nature, 2004, 427, 6970, 145â8.

40. D. B. Botkin et al., âForecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversityâ,BioScience, 2007, 57, 3, 227â36.

41. M. Maslin et al., âNew Views on an Old Forest: Assessing the Longevity, Resilience and Future of the Amazon Rainforestâ,Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 2005, NS30, 477â99.

Health Impacts

42. A. Costello et al., âUCLâLancet Commission: Managing the Health Effects of Climate Changeâ,The Lancet, 2009, 373, 1693â733.

43. J. Stephenson, K. Newman, and S. Mayhew, âPopulation Dynamics and Climate Change: What are the Links?â,Journal of Public Health, 2010, 32, 2, 150â6.

Tipping Points and Surprises

44. T. M. Lenton et al., âTipping Elements in the Earth's Climate Systemâ,PNAS, 2008, 105, 1786â93.

45. J. Hansen et al., âTarget Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?â,Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 2008, 2, 217â31.

46. M. A. Maslin et al., âGas Hydrates: Past and Future Geohazard?â,Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2010, 368, 2369â93.

47. Moss et al., âThe Next Generation of Scenarios for Climate Change Research and Assessmentâ,Nature, 2010, 463, 747â56.

Volume III: Politics and Solutions


Kyoto Politics

48. D. M. Liverman, âConventions of Climate Changeâ,Journal of Historical Geography, 2009, 35, 2, 279â95.

49. M. Grubb, âNegotiating the Kyoto Protocolâ,The Kyoto Protocol: A Guide and Assessment(Earthscan, 1999), pp. 61â114.

50. C. D. Stone, âCommon and Differentiated Responsibilities in International Lawâ,American Journal of International Law, 3004, 98, 2, 276â301.

Post-Kyoto Politics

51. P. Christoff, âPost Kyoto? Post Bush? Towards an Effective "Climate Coalition of the Willing"â,International Affairs, 2006, 82, 5, 831â60.

52. G. Prins and S. Rayner, âTime to Ditch Kyotoâ,Nature, 2007, 449, 973â5.

53. D. Helm, âClimate Change Policy: Why has so Little Been Achieved?â,Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2008, 24, 2, 211â38.

Global Solutions

54. S. Pacala and R. Socolow, âStabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 years with Current Technologiesâ,Science, 2004, 305, 968â72.

55. M. Meinshausen et al., âGreenhouse Gas Emissions Targets for Limiting Global Warming to 2°Câ,Nature, 2009, 458, 1158â63.

56. S. Randalls, âHistory of 2 Degrees Climate Targetâ,WIRES Climate Change, 2010, 1, 4, 598â605.


57. A. Giddens, âA Return to Planningâ,The Politics of Climate Change(Polity Press, 2009), pp. 91â128.

Energy and Transport Solutions

58. H. Chalmers and J. Gibbins, âCarbon Capture and Storage: The Ten Year Challengeâ,Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part C, 2010, 224, C3, 505â18.

59. P. Menanteau, D. Finon, and Marie-Laure Lamy, âPrices Versus Quantities: Choosing Policies for the Development of Renewable Energyâ,Energy Policy, 2003, 31, 799â812.

60. V. Dornburg et al., âBioenergy Revisited: Key Factors in Global Potentials of Bioenergyâ,Energy and Environmental Science, 2010, 3, 258â67.

61. A. Sentence, âDeveloping Transport Infrastructure for the Low Carbon Societyâ,Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2009, 25, 3, 391â410.

Market Solutions

62. D. MacKenzie, âMaking things the Same: Gases, Emission Rights and the Politics of Carbon Marketsâ,Accounting, Organizations and Society, 2009, 34, 440â55.

63. K. H. Olsen, âThe Clean Development Mechanism's Contribution to Sustainable Developmentâ,Climatic Change, 2007, 84, 59â73.

Sustainable Cities

64. H. Bulkeley and M. Betsill, âRethinking Sustainable Cities: Multilevel Governance and the "Urban" Politics of Climate Changeâ,Environmental Politics, 2005, 14, 1, 42â63.


65. âGovernanceâ and âConclusionsâ,Geoengineering the Climate: Science, Governance and Uncertainty(Royal Society, London, 2009), pp. ixâxii, 37â46, 57â62.

Volume IV: Framing the Debate

Why Framing?

66. E. L. Malone, âFinding Common Ground: The Features of the Argumentsâ,Debating Climate Change: Pathways through Argument to Agreement(Earthscan, 2009), pp, 65â82.

Development Framings

67. N. Adger, âVulnerabilityâ,Global Environmental Change, 2006, 16, 268â81.

Economic Framings

68. T. Barker, âThe Economics of Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change: An Editorial Essay on the Stern Reviewâ,Climatic Change, 2008, 89, 173â94.

69. J. Nelson, âEconomists, Value Judgments, and Climate Change: A view from Feminist Economicsâ,Ecological Economics, 2008, 65, 441â7.

Ethics/Justice Framings

70. M. R. Kamminga, âThe Ethics of Climate Politics: Four Modes of Moral Discourseâ,Environmental Politics, 3008, 17, 4, 673â92.

71. S. Vanderheiden, âClimate Change and Intergenerational Justiceâ,Atmospheric Justice: A Political Theory of Climate Change(Oxford University Press, 2008), pp. 111â42.

Health Framings

72. J. A. Patz et al., âClimate Change and Global Health: Quantifying a Growing Ethical Crisisâ,EcoHealth, 2007, 4, 397â405.

73. R. S. Kovats et al., âClimate Change and Human Health: Estimating Avoidable Deaths and Diseaseâ,Risk Analysis, 2005, 25, 6, 1409â18.

Cultural and Behavioural Framings

74. A. Carvalho and J. Burgess, âCultural Circuits of Climate Change in UK Broadsheet Newspapers, 1985â2003â,Risk Analysis, 2005, 25, 1457â69.

75. R. Slocum, âPolar Bears and Energy-Efficient Lightbulbs: Strategies to Bring Climate Change Homeâ,Environment and Planning D, 2004, 22, 413â38.

Security Framings

76. J. Barnett and W. N. Adger, âClimate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflictâ,Political Geography, 2007, 26, 639â55.

77. O. Brown, A. Hammill, and R. McLeman, âClimate Change as the "New" Security Threat: Implications for Africaâ,International Affairs, 2007, 83, 1141â54.

Science-Policy-Politics Framings

78. M. T. Boykoff, D. J. Frame, and S. Randalls, âDiscursive Stability Meets Climate Instabilityâ,Global Environmental Change, 2010, 20, 1, 53â64.

79. D. Demeritt, âThe Construction of Global Warming and the Politics of Scienceâ,Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 2001, 91, 2, 307â37.

Alternative Framings

80. E. Charkiewicz, âA Feminist Critique of the Climate Change Discourse: From Biopolitics to Necropoliticsâ,Critical Currents, 2009, 6, 18â25.

Artistic Framings

81. F. Dunaway, âSeeing Global Warming: Contemporary Art and the Fate of the Planetâ,Environmental History, 2009, 14, 1, 9â31.

82. S. OâNeill and S. Nicholson-Cole, â"Fear Wonât Do It": Promoting Public Engagement with Climate Change through Visual and Iconic Representationsâ,Science Communication, 2009, 30, 3, 355â79.

Beyond Climate Change?

83. M. Hulme, âCosmopolitan Climates: Hybridity, Foresight and Meaning, Theoryâ,Culture and Society, 2010, 27, 2â3, 267â76.