Growth And Cycle In The Euro-zone

Hardcover | February 15, 2007

byGian Luigi Mazzi, Giovanni Savio

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This book discusses recent developments in theoretical and empirical business cycle analysis, identifying possible applications of sophisticated tools by private and public institutions involved in the analysis of economic fluctuations and facilitating interaction between academics, researchers and institutions in the area of business cycle.The volume features recent methodological advances in several important areas for business cycle analysis, such as multivariate statistical methods, synchronization and convergence, composite indicators, turning points dating and detection, output gap measurement, as well as innovative applications of the existing theories and methods to the economy of the Euro-zone.

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This book discusses recent developments in theoretical and empirical business cycle analysis, identifying possible applications of sophisticated tools by private and public institutions involved in the analysis of economic fluctuations and facilitating interaction between academics, researchers and institutions in the area of business ...

GIAN LUIGI MAZZI and GIOVANNI SAVIO work at EUROSTAT, Statistical Office of the European Communities, Luxembourg.

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Format:HardcoverDimensions:492 pages, 9.58 × 6.36 × 1.04 inPublished:February 15, 2007Publisher:Palgrave MacmillanLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0230007902

ISBN - 13:9780230007901

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Table of Contents

PART 1: BUSINESS CYCLE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS--G.L.Mazzi & G.Savio * PART 2: MULTIVARIATE STATISTICAL METHODS AND RECENT ADVANCES IN BUSINESS CYCLE ANALYSIS * Trend Estimation, Signal-noise Ratios and the Frequency of Observations--A.Harvey & T.M.Trimbur * Output Fluctuations in G7 Countries: A Time-scale Decomposition Analysis--M.Crivellini, M.Gallegati, M.Gallegati & A.Palestrini * Optimal Bandpass Filtering and the Reliability of Current Analysis--S.Van Norden * The Extent of Seasonal/Business Cycle Interaction in European Industrial Production--D.R.Osborn & A.Mats-Mir * Bayesian Inference on Dynamic Models with Latent Factors--M.Billio, R.Casarin & D.Sartore * Bayes Estimates of the Cyclical Component in Twentieth Century US Gross Domestic Product--A.C.Harvey, T.M.Trimbur & H.K.Van Dijk * PART 3: SYNCHRONIZATION AND CONVERGENCE * How Does the Euro-zone Respond to Shocks? A Common Trends and Common Cycles Analysis--R.Astolfi * How Similar are European Business Cycles? M.U.Bergman * A Nonparametric Analysis of the International Business Cycles--M.Bovi * Common Shocks, Common Dynamics, and the International Business Cycle--M.Centoni, G.Cubadda & A.Hecq * Modelling the Dynamic Convergence of Business Cycles--M.Lemoine * Convergence of Candidate Countries to European Union: An Analysis on Industrial Production using Dynamic Factor Model--M.Marini * Synchronisation of National Business Cycles in Europe? G.Flaig, J-E.Sturm & U.Woitek * Interacting Two-country Business Fluctuations: Euroland and the USA--T.Asada, C.Chiarella, P.Flaschel & R.Franke * VAR Modelling of the Euro Area GDP on the Basis of Principal Component Analysis--N.Sdrakas * Business Cycle Affiliations with the USA--P.J.Perez, D.R.Osborn & M.Sensier * A Time Series Disaggregated Model to Forecast GDP in the Euro-zone--A.Espasa & R.Mínguez * PART 4: COMPOSITE INDICATORS * An Index of Coincident Indicators for the Euro Area Based on Monthly and Quarterly Time Series--F.Moauro &T.Proietti * Real-time Detection of Economic Cycles using a SETAR Model--L.Ferrara & D.Guégan * Business Survey Data: Do They Help Forecasting GDP Growth? J.Hansson, M.Löf & Per Jansson * PART 5: TURNING POINTS DATING AND DETECTION * Euro-zone Business Cycle Analysis with Multivariate Markov Switching Models--J.Anas, L.Ferrara, M.Billio & M.Lo Duca * A Turning Point Chronology for the Euro-zone--J.Anas, L.Ferrara, M.Billio, M.Lo Duca * Basic Characteristics of the Euro Area Business Cycle--A.Musso * PART 6: OUTPUT GAP MEASUREMENT * Stability Analysis in ARMA and Unobserved Component Models--J.Del Hoyo Bernat & J.L.Cendejas Bueno * Density Estimates for Real-time Output Gap Estimates--J.Mitchell * Simultaneous Determination of NAIRU, Output Gaps, and Structural Budget Balances--G.Hjelm * PART 7: MONETARY POLICIES AND BUSINESS CYCLES * Time-varying Nairu and Real Interest Rates in the Euro Area--C.Logeay & S.Tober * Business Cycle Fluctuations in the Euro Area--N.Cassola & C.Morana * Asymmetries and Credibility in Monetary Policy of Euro Area--K.Mouratidis * Monetary and Fiscal Policy Transmission in the Euro Area: Evidence from a Structural VAR Analysis--H.Garretsen, N.Gobbin & B.van Aarle * Measuring the 'Financing Gap' of European Corporations--F.Galizia * The 'Savings Gap' of European Corporations: A First Look at the Available Data; F.Galizia & T.Steinberger