Market Volatility

Paperback | January 30, 1992

byRobert J. Shiller

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Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why does the stock market crash from time to time? Why does real estate go in and out of booms? Why do long term borrowing rates suddenly make surprising shifts? Market Volatility represents a culmination of Shiller's research on these questions over the last dozen years. It contains reprints of major papers with new interpretive material for those unfamiliar with the issues, new papers, new surveys of relevant literature, responses to critics, data sets, and reframing of basic conclusions. Included is work authored jointly with John Y. Campbell, Karl E. Case, Sanford J. Grossman, and Jeremy J. Siegel. Market Volatility sets out basic issues relevant to all markets in which prices make movements for speculative reasons and offers detailed analyses of the stock market, the bond market, and the real estate market. It pursues the relations of these speculative prices and extends the analysis of speculative markets to macroeconomic activity in general. In studies of the October 1987 stock market crash and boom and post-boom housing markets, Market Volatility reports on research directly aimed at collecting information about popular models and interpreting the consequences of belief in those models. Shiller asserts that popular models cause people to react incorrectly to economic data and believes that changing popular models themselves contribute significantly to price movements bearing no relation to fundamental shocks.

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From Our Editors

The stock market is a great place to make your fortune. It is also a place where dreams are dashed and many a broker has lost everything. In Market Volatility, Robert J. Shiller proposes a groundbreaking theory that will change price fluctuations in speculative markets. It examines the important role that psychology plays in price vola...

From the Publisher

Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why...

From the Jacket

Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient-markets model for exploring asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility.

Robert J. Shiller is Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at the Cowles Foundation, Yale University.

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Format:PaperbackDimensions:480 pages, 9 × 6 × 0.94 inPublished:January 30, 1992Publisher:The MIT PressLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0262691515

ISBN - 13:9780262691512

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From Our Editors

The stock market is a great place to make your fortune. It is also a place where dreams are dashed and many a broker has lost everything. In Market Volatility, Robert J. Shiller proposes a groundbreaking theory that will change price fluctuations in speculative markets. It examines the important role that psychology plays in price volatility and presents a series of examples to back up this new theory. This book is a must-read for all professional brokers and anyone interested in the stock market.  

Editorial Reviews

A specter haunts modern economics: 'individual stocks perform random walks in efficient markets, but the level of the whole market displays no demonstrable efficiency.' Bob Shiller is the key economist in this great debate. Buy his book and think on its contents. Learn what the October 1987 crash was all about.