Minding The Weather: How Expert Forecasters Think by Robert R. HoffmanMinding The Weather: How Expert Forecasters Think by Robert R. Hoffman

Minding The Weather: How Expert Forecasters Think

byRobert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. Ladue, H. Michael Mogil

Hardcover | August 11, 2017

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A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science.

This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.

Title:Minding The Weather: How Expert Forecasters ThinkFormat:HardcoverDimensions:488 pages, 9 × 7 × 0.88 inPublished:August 11, 2017Publisher:The MIT PressLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0262036061

ISBN - 13:9780262036061

Reviews

Editorial Reviews

How are weather forecasters able to reveal the future? How does one become an expert? What does it mean to be an expert? These are just some of the questions that the authors pose in this excellent, all-encompassing book about weather forecasting and the minds of those who make the forecasts. Minding the Weather opens the brains of forecasters, peeks inside, and reveals how they think, how they make forecasts, and how they become experts.