World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century

Hardcover | September 28, 2014

EditorWolfgang Lutz, William P. Butz, Samir KC

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This book addresses systematically and quantitatively the role of educational attainment in global population trends and models. Seven background chapters summarize past trends in fertility, mortality, migration, and education; examine relevant theories and identify key determining factors;and set the assumptions that are subsequently translated into alternative scenario projections to 2100. These assumptions derive from a global survey of hundreds of experts and five expert meetings on as many continents. Another chapter details their translation into multi-dimensional projections byage, sex, and level of education. The book's final chapters analyse the results, emphasizing alternative trends in human capital, new ways of studying ageing and the quantification of alternative population, and education pathways in the context of global sustainable development. An appendix andassociated web link present detailed results for all countries. The book shows that adding education to age and sex substantially alters the way we see the future.

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This book addresses systematically and quantitatively the role of educational attainment in global population trends and models. Seven background chapters summarize past trends in fertility, mortality, migration, and education; examine relevant theories and identify key determining factors;and set the assumptions that are subsequently ...

Wolfgang Lutz is Founding Director of the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, a new collaboration between the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), the Austrian Academy of Sciences and the WU-Vienna University of Economics and Business. He is director of the Vienna Institute of Demograph...
Format:HardcoverDimensions:1040 pages, 9.69 × 6.73 × 0.1 inPublished:September 28, 2014Publisher:Oxford University PressLanguage:English

The following ISBNs are associated with this title:

ISBN - 10:0198703163

ISBN - 13:9780198703167

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Table of Contents

1. Wolfgang Lutz and William P. Butz: Introduction2. Wolfgang Lutz and Vegard Skirbekk: How Education Drives Demography and Knowledge Informs Projections3. Stuart Basten, Tomas Sobotka, and Krystof Zeman: Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries4. Regina Fuchs and Anne Goujon: Future Fertility in High Fertility Countries5. Graziella Caselli, Sven Drefahl, Marc Luy, and Christian Wegner-Siegmundt: Future Mortality in Low Mortality Countries6. Alessandra Garbero and Elsie Pamuk: Future Mortality in High Mortality Countries7. Nikola Sander, Guy Abel, and Fernando Riosmena: The Future of International Migration8. Bilal Barakat and Rachel Durham: Future Education Trends9. Samir KC, Michaela Potanckova, Ramon Bauer, Anne Goujon, and Erich Striessnig: Data and Methods10. Wolfgang Lutz and Samir KC: The Rise of Global Human Capital and the End of World Population Growth11. Sergei Scherbov, Warren Sanderson, Samir KC, and Wolfgang Lutz: Remeasuring 21st Century Population Ageing12. Samir KC and Wolfgang Lutz: Alternative Scenarios in the Context of Sustainable DevelopmentWolfgang Lutz: Epilogue: Education Changes our View of the FutureAppendix I: Forecasting Mortality Convergence up to 2100Appendix II: Tabular Appendix